La géopolitique systémique 

the Systemic Vigilance Index (SVI) provides an analytical tool that makes it possible to assess not only the level of threat, but above all the intensity of the interactions between these different risk factors.

Within this framework, climate has become one of the most widely debated factors. Some experts predict the emergence of future “climate wars.” Others, on the contrary, argue that climate change is merely an environmental issue with no direct connection to international security.

The central hypothesis of this study is that integrative health could emerge as one of the most powerful vehicles for peacebuilding in the Middle East, grounded in a shared historical legacy, common health challenges, and a systemic understanding of human relations.

Executive summary The 2027 French presidential election could represent a major turning point in the evolution of the French political system. This study is part of a systemic geopolitical approach aimed at analyzing the interactions between political polarization, identity-based tensions, international influences, and national cohesion. The central hypothesis is that Jewish and Muslim communities could become the first collateral victims of a democracy under strain. This vul

An election under systemic constraints The 2027 French presidential election may prove to be one of the most consequential political events of the Fifth Republic. Unlike previous elections, it will take place in an environment marked by an unprecedented accumulation of constraints: European economic slowdown, massive public debt, the war in Ukraine, energy tensions, social fragmentation, identity polarization, the digital revolution, and information warfare. France no longer

As the 2027 presidential election approaches, one fact is becoming increasingly clear: France is entering an election unlike the traditional political cycles of the Fifth Republic. For decades, French presidential elections were primarily driven by domestic ideological confrontations: Left versus right, State versus market, Social policies versus liberal policies, Sovereigntism versus European integration. The upcoming election, however, will be profoundly influenced by globa

Behind the technical discussions on freight digitalization, smart infrastructure, and interoperability standards lies a much deeper transformation of global geopolitics: transport is increasingly becoming an instrument of systemic power.

Inequality is no longer a social issue but a geopolitical issue. For a long time, inequalities were considered internal issues within states, but today this is no longer the case.

We continue to view the war in Ukraine and the crisis in Iran as separate issues; episodes that have nothing to do with each other, crises that can each be placed in their own box. But this way of seeing things is outdated. The world can no longer be understood by analyzing conflicts in isolation. Everything is now interconnected: a hotspot, a tension somewhere, influences the entire international system. As a result, these are no longer just wars added one after another. We

In a traditional approach, Azerbaijan is often perceived as an intermediary state, located in a zone of friction between regional powers. This interpretation, inherited from a static vision of power relations, tends to underestimate the contemporary transformation of international systems. Systemic geopolitics, by contrast, offers an analytical framework based on interactions, flows, and interdependencies. Within this perspective, Azerbaijan no longer appears as a simple acto

For a long time, I did what everyone else does. I looked at a conflict through what is said about it: events, statements, images.But very quickly, one thing becomes obvious: · What we see is only the surface. · To truly understand a conflict, you need to change your method. Here, I propose a simple but powerful framework: analysis in 5 levels . The visible level: events This is what everyone looks at. · Attacks · Political statements · Military moveme

La géopolitique systémique est une approche qui analyse les relations internationales comme un système d’interactions complexes entre États, économie, technologie et environnement.

Conflicts don't simply add up; they connect. These connections create invisible effects.