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Geopolitics and Action


La géopolitique systémique
La géopolitique systémique est une approche moderne de l’analyse des relations internationales qui considère le monde comme un ensemble de systèmes interconnectés. Contrairement à la géopolitique classique centrée sur les États et les rapports de force militaires, elle intègre des dimensions multiples : économiques, technologiques, environnementales, sociales et informationnelles.
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Climate does not wage war, but it can make -war inevitable
Within this framework, climate has become one of the most widely debated factors. Some experts predict the emergence of future “climate wars.” Others, on the contrary, argue that climate change is merely an environmental issue with no direct connection to international security.
6 min read


What If peace in the Middle East emerged through care?
The central hypothesis of this study is that integrative health could emerge as one of the most powerful vehicles for peacebuilding in the Middle East, grounded in a shared historical legacy, common health challenges, and a systemic understanding of human relations.
7 min read


Jews and Muslims in France: the first collateral victims of a democracy under strain?
Executive summary The 2027 French presidential election could represent a major turning point in the evolution of the French political system. This study is part of a systemic geopolitical approach aimed at analyzing the interactions between political polarization, identity-based tensions, international influences, and national cohesion. The central hypothesis is that Jewish and Muslim communities could become the first collateral victims of a democracy under strain. This vul
11 min read


French presidential election of 2027: When extremes meet the limits of reality
An election under systemic constraints The 2027 French presidential election may prove to be one of the most consequential political events of the Fifth Republic. Unlike previous elections, it will take place in an environment marked by an unprecedented accumulation of constraints: European economic slowdown, massive public debt, the war in Ukraine, energy tensions, social fragmentation, identity polarization, the digital revolution, and information warfare. France no longer
9 min read


he 2027 French presidential election: an election shaped by systemic constraints
As the 2027 presidential election approaches, one fact is becoming increasingly clear: France is entering an election unlike the traditional political cycles of the Fifth Republic. For decades, French presidential elections were primarily driven by domestic ideological confrontations: Left versus right, State versus market, Social policies versus liberal policies, Sovereigntism versus European integration. The upcoming election, however, will be profoundly influenced by globa
4 min read


The Azerbaijani presidency of the Council of Transport Ministers: Corridor diplomacy at the heart of the new geoeconomic order
Behind the technical discussions on freight digitalization, smart infrastructure, and interoperability standards lies a much deeper transformation of global geopolitics: transport is increasingly becoming an instrument of systemic power.
6 min read


The geopolitical time bomb of inequality
Inequality is no longer a social issue but a geopolitical issue. For a long time, inequalities were considered internal issues within states, but today this is no longer the case.
5 min read


Iran–Ukraine: We have already entered systemic warfare
We continue to view the war in Ukraine and the crisis in Iran as separate issues; episodes that have nothing to do with each other, crises that can each be placed in their own box. But this way of seeing things is outdated. The world can no longer be understood by analyzing conflicts in isolation. Everything is now interconnected: a hotspot, a tension somewhere, influences the entire international system. As a result, these are no longer just wars added one after another. We
3 min read


Azerbaijan: A systemic pivot of the Caucasus
In a traditional approach, Azerbaijan is often perceived as an intermediary state, located in a zone of friction between regional powers. This interpretation, inherited from a static vision of power relations, tends to underestimate the contemporary transformation of international systems. Systemic geopolitics, by contrast, offers an analytical framework based on interactions, flows, and interdependencies. Within this perspective, Azerbaijan no longer appears as a simple acto
3 min read


Systemic geopolitics and integrative health: rethinking the world
The world is changing, but above all, it is becoming more complex. Crises are no longer isolated; they are intertwined. Balances are no longer determined solely by traditional power relations, but by much deeper dynamics, where population health, lifestyles, the environment, and cultures constantly interact. It is in this context that systemic geopolitics takes on its full meaning. It offers a way of understanding the world that goes beyond borders and disciplines, to grasp t
3 min read


Understanding a geopolitical conflict in 5 Levels (Method)
For a long time, I did what everyone else does. I looked at a conflict through what is said about it: events, statements, images.But very quickly, one thing becomes obvious: · What we see is only the surface. · To truly understand a conflict, you need to change your method. Here, I propose a simple but powerful framework: analysis in 5 levels . The visible level: events This is what everyone looks at. · Attacks · Political statements · Military moveme
2 min read


Interview with Éric Gozlan. Statements drawn from recent exchanges and analyses.
IÉric Gozlan, the man of the grey zones Going against official diplomacy, Éric Gozlan operates in those uncertain spaces where states alone are no longer enough to shape history. Between fieldwork, informal networks, and a systemic approach to conflicts, he embodies a new generation of hybrid actors, at the crossroads of strategy and human engagement. Your background does not fit into traditional categories. Who are you today? Éric Gozlan: First and foremost, I am a practitio
4 min read


Iran / USA / Israel agreement: A Ceasefire already doomed? Geopolitical analysis
The ceasefire concluded between Iran, the United States, and Israel is not a classic peace agreement. It is a tactical instrument, used by each actor to consolidate its position before the next phase. Three incompatible strategic rationalities • 🇺🇸 controlled de-escalation: avoid a regional war + contain nuclear proliferation • 🇮🇱 neutralization doctrine: permanently prevent Iranian capability • 🇮🇷 strategic resilience logic: survive, sanctioned but intact No structural
2 min read


Understanding global chaos: the silent revolution of systemic geopolitics
La géopolitique systémique est une approche qui analyse les relations internationales comme un système d’interactions complexes entre États, économie, technologie et environnement.
3 min read


Interconnected conflicts
Conflicts don't simply add up; they connect. These connections create invisible effects.
1 min read


Strategic briefing: Strategic reconfiguration of the Middle East — Systemic risks and influence opportunities (2026–2030)
Executive summary The Middle East is entering a phase of unstable stabilization.It is now one of the most advanced laboratories of global transformation: hybrid rivalries, indirect strategies, and a shift toward a multipolar order. Three key conclusions: The region is not stabilizing: it is changing form Dominant actors now prioritize indirect influence and hybrid competition The current window favors actors capable of deploying agile and informed strategies In other words:
2 min read


Purim in a time of bombs: When Esther’s voice calls us to peace
This evening, at sunset, we enter Purim, the festival that commemorates the deliverance of the Jewish people in the Persian Empire, as told in the Meguilat Esther. This ancient story teaches us that in the face of adversity and attempts at annihilation, solidarity, courage, and faith can change the course of history. Yet this year, it is difficult not to sense a painful irony in the calendar. Today, the world faces a major military escalation around Iran — the former heart of
2 min read


What if health were the hidden key to world peace?
Persistent wars, political polarization, climate crisis, a surge in anxiety and depressive disorders, growing distrust in institutions: our era is marked by an accumulation of systemic tensions. Traditional responses—diplomatic, military, economic—are showing their limits. They address geopolitical symptoms, but rarely the deeper human causes. What if one of the most powerful levers for world peace lay upstream of conflict—at the very core of human health? Integrative health,
3 min read


Ми не ведемо переговорів, коли викрадають дітей
Те, що відбувається сьогодні, — це не дипломатична «сіра зона».Це злочин, який триває. Тисячі українських дітей були викрадені, депортовані до Росії, розлучені зі своїми родинами, позбавлені мови та ідентичності, піддані ідеологічній обробці — а в деяких випадках і насильству.Цей факт встановлений, задокументований і відомий. І попри це переговори тривають.Ніби це може зачекати.Ніби можна говорити про мир, поки діти залишаються в полоні. Це не недогляд.Це — рішення. Примусове
2 min read


Iran: Violence without vision
The Iranian regime is not merely authoritarian: it is structurally violent, ideologically totalitarian, and deeply hostile to any form of freedom. For more than forty years, the mullahs have ruled through fear, executions, humiliation, and religious manipulation. They repress their own people, oppress women, assassinate opponents, and export instability far beyond their borders. This assessment is no longer ideological; it is factual. Yes, the regime of the mullahs is one of
2 min read
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